Event Details

Will a Russian State Official Declare a Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire in July 2026?
GeopoliticsPolitics

Will a Russian State Official Declare a Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire in July 2026?

Rules This market will resolve to “Yes” if a Russian state official declares aceasefire between Russia and Ukraine in July 2026, with the declaredceasefire lasting at least 1 week. The ceasefire declaration must be made publicly by an officialrepresentative of the Russian state, government, military, or presidency. This market will resolve to “No” if no qualifying declaration is made duringJuly 2026, or if the declared ceasefire duration is less than 1 week. Only statements specifically referring to a Russia-Ukraine ceasefirequalify.

July 2026

Place Your Bet

Yes - Ceasefire Declared42.6%
1247 bets$1.02M volume
No - No Qualifying Ceasefire57.4%
578 bets$1.38M volume

Market Prediction

Yes42.6%
No57.4%